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Bitcoin ETF Anticipation Sparks Price Volatility

Bitcoin ETF Anticipation Sparks Price Volatility

Bitcoin ETF potential is the driving force behind the significant surge witnessed in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies on Monday. The mounting anticipation of the Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) approval of the first-ever spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) has ignited enthusiasm in the market. However, investors should exercise caution, as there are potential hurdles on the horizon related to Bitcoin ETF potential.

Bitcoin ETF Anticipation Surges

The price of Bitcoin experienced a brief, but notable, spike on Monday, soaring to over $30,000 before settling at approximately $28,100. This 3.5% increase within a mere 24 hours was prompted by an erroneous tweet from a crypto trade publication. The tweet wrongly suggested that the SEC had given its approval for BlackRock (BLK) to launch a spot Bitcoin ETF. Subsequently, a statement from a BlackRock spokeswoman clarified that their application is still under review, leading to the deletion of the tweet and an issued apology.

This misleading tweet serves as a reminder of the false starts that Bitcoin investors may encounter as the SEC evaluates applications for the introduction of the first spot Bitcoin ETFs to the market. While Bitcoin futures-based ETFs have been available for years in the United States, the absence of a spot Bitcoin ETF, which directly holds Bitcoin rather than derivatives, has been notable. This ETF introduction is poised to ignite a new wave of investor interest in digital assets. The crypto community views this development as a significant step forward in cryptocurrency adoption, potentially ushering in increased institutional investment linked to Bitcoin ETF potential.

Recent optimism further fueled as the SEC opted not to challenge a court ruling in August.The U.S. Court of Appeals for the D.C. The Circuit found that the SEC’s rejection of Grayscale Investments’ application to convert the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) into an ETF was “arbitrary and capricious.” This decision became particularly significant as the SEC had previously approved similar products linked to Bitcoin futures.

Roadblocks on the Path to a Bitcoin ETF

Although this decision clears a path for the conversion of the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust into an ETF, potential delays related to Bitcoin ETF potential still loom. The SEC could employ other means to challenge Bitcoin ETFs, potentially unrelated to the court’s findings. In an extreme scenario, the agency might even contemplate delisting Bitcoin futures products that formed the basis for the court’s determination that potential spot Bitcoin ETFs faced unfair treatment.

Furthermore, even if the agency resolves the issue addressed by the court, approval is not guaranteed. ETF providers, including Grayscale, BlackRock, Invesco, WisdomTree, and others, continue to pursue a rule change. This change would permit the listing of their products on an exchange.These firms must secure the SEC’s approval for prospectuses and related documentation.A different SEC department manages this process, separate from the one responsible for approving the rule change linked to Bitcoin ETF potential.

A prominent indicator of traders’ increasing optimism about Grayscale’s conversion was the narrowing of the Grayscale discount. For nearly two years, Grayscale’s Bitcoin fund has consistently traded at a discount. This discount is in comparison to the value of the Bitcoin held by the fund. However, bets on the SEC’s approval related to Bitcoin ETF potential have increased. This led to the discount recently tightening, reaching its narrowest level since December 2021. It’s now below 16%, down from nearly 19% at the start of October. A Grayscale spokesperson confirmed the company’s operational readiness to convert GBTC into an ETF once it obtains the necessary approvals.


Apart from Bitcoin, other cryptocurrencies also experienced gains. Ether, the second-largest cryptocurrency, advanced 2% to reach $1,580. Smaller tokens and altcoins, including Cardano and Polygon, recorded notable increases of 2.5% and 2.2%, respectively. Memecoins, such as Dogecoin and Shiba Inu, also made gains, with both rising by 2% each, reflecting the broader market’s positive sentiment regarding Bitcoin ETF potential.

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Disclaimer: Please note that this article serves solely for informational purposes. As such, it is not financial advice. We strongly advise readers to conduct thorough research and consult with financial professionals before making any investment decisions.


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